Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.067295 0.079941 0.094137 0.111232 0.131234 0.153871 0.181410
2025-03-16 0.046803 0.062667 0.082534 0.109134 0.143705 0.186990 0.245157
2025-03-23 0.036662 0.053948 0.077527 0.111807 0.160094 0.225363 0.319888
2025-03-30 0.028968 0.046179 0.071410 0.110706 0.169880 0.255060 0.386186
2025-04-06 0.023165 0.039644 0.065390 0.107979 0.175944 0.279243 0.446812
2025-04-13 0.018682 0.034116 0.059666 0.104300 0.179341 0.299062 0.502522
2025-04-20 0.016226 0.031406 0.057867 0.106386 0.191800 0.333995 0.585667
2025-04-27 0.014066 0.028759 0.055645 0.107219 0.201975 0.366051 0.667511
2025-05-04 0.012265 0.026413 0.053513 0.107751 0.211461 0.397727 0.752019
2025-05-11 0.010883 0.024614 0.052069 0.109249 0.222725 0.433566 0.847651
2025-05-18 0.009945 0.023547 0.051856 0.113027 0.238668 0.479513 0.966620
2025-05-25 0.008464 0.021018 0.048250 0.109374 0.239422 0.496797 1.033141
2025-06-01 0.007469 0.019428 0.046438 0.109335 0.247783 0.530310 1.136181
2025-06-08 0.006490 0.017686 0.044014 0.107612 0.252408 0.556976 1.228815
2025-06-15 0.005937 0.016886 0.043601 0.110329 0.266977 0.605637 1.371962
2025-06-22 0.005233 0.015552 0.041696 0.109259 0.272875 0.636538 1.480849
2025-06-29 0.004544 0.014111 0.039282 0.106570 0.274619 0.658507 1.572618
2025-07-06 0.003909 0.012686 0.036660 0.102936 0.273576 0.674033 1.651593
2025-07-13 0.003599 0.012145 0.036276 0.104997 0.286740 0.723469 1.813032
2025-07-20 0.003274 0.011490 0.035472 0.105820 0.296878 0.766872 1.964889
2025-07-27 0.002975 0.010852 0.034609 0.106346 0.306309 0.809565 2.119453
2025-08-03 0.002739 0.010368 0.034112 0.107825 0.318459 0.860212 2.298547
2025-08-10 0.002589 0.010150 0.034378 0.111556 0.337217 0.929379 2.530556